Title Foreign policy preferences and vote choice under semi-presidentialism /
Authors Jastramskis, Mažvydas
DOI 10.1177/10659129221119201
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Is Part of Political research quarterly.. Thousand Oaks, CA : SAGE Publications. 2023, vol. 76, iss. 2, p. 899-914.. ISSN 1065-9129. eISSN 1938-274X
Keywords [eng] semi-presidentialism ; presidential elections ; vote choice ; foreign policy preferences
Abstract [eng] Under semi-presidential regimes, directly elected presidents often play a central role in foreign policy, but their responsibility for the economy is limited. I propose an office-centred explanation of voter behaviour in semi-presidential elections based on the foreign policy preferences of the electorate. In order to explore the empirical applicability of this addition to the theory, I explore the Lithuanian case: a semi-presidential country where the president has substantial powers in foreign and defence policy and the presidents are usually non-partisan. I employ a dataset from the Lithuanian 2019 post-election survey that offers a battery of items measuring the positions of voters on foreign policy issues. When controlling for alternative explanations, I find that foreign policy preferences (measured as an index of voter attitudes towards Russia and defence) are a strong and stable determinant of vote choice, in both the first and second rounds of presidential elections.
Published Thousand Oaks, CA : SAGE Publications
Type Journal article
Language English
Publication date 2023
CC license CC license description