Title ARMA models for mortality forecast /
Translation of Title ARMA modeliai mirtingumo prognozei.
Authors Šiškina, Natalja ; Šiaulys, Jonas
DOI 10.15388/LJS.2016.13865
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Is Part of Lithuanian journal of statistics = Lietuvos statistikos darbai.. Vilnius : Vilniaus universiteto leidykla. 2016, vol. 55, no. 1, p. 31-44.. ISSN 1392-642X. eISSN 2029-7262
Keywords [eng] mortality forecasting ; longevity risk ; ARMA models
Abstract [eng] In the last several decades, many countries have been paying a lot of attention to mortality forecasting because of high longevity risk. The purpose of this paper is to analyze mortality characteristics of Baltic countries and make predictions using ARMA models. Research shoved that mortality rate distribution is almost the same in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia and all of them represent longevity trends. It means that men and women, children and adults have the same mortality structure in all Baltic countries and live longer than before.
Published Vilnius : Vilniaus universiteto leidykla
Type Journal article
Language English
Publication date 2016
CC license CC license description