| Abstract [eng] |
Investors search for a tool that could help to make decisions in stock market. It would be great to know the financial health of any stock, because this information could give nice profit to investors in the future. That is why they are searching for a tool that could help them to be sure about their investments. The article emphasizes the use of both fundamental and technical analysis and indicates factors influencing the stock selection process. The object of this paper is to find the best way and parameters to rate stocks. The aim of this paper is to create an expert system which will give recommendations about investments using both fundamental and technical indicators and analysis. Part 1 of the paper is about why every investor must use intermarket analysis. There is information about main fundamental tools and indicators. Also there is information about technical analysis based on an examination of the price and volume movements of individual stocks, sectors, or the market as a whole. In the 2 part of the paper is described expert system and how it was made. Also there is information about its structure, logical blocks and variables. In part 3 of the paper were described kinds of surveys that have been made analyze quality of an expert system. Also there are results of experiment in USA stocks market. In order to achieve stated aim, scientific literature analysis and synthesis was selected, expert system were made and tested with real stocks. The results of research were processed by using statistical analysis. This MBA paper consists of introduction, three parts, conclusions, annexes. The main material is discussed in 88 pages, including 10 tables, 46 pictures and 1 annex. The list of applied literature consists of 33 sources of information. |
