Title Impact of geopolitical turmoil in the developing European stock markets vs. the global benchmark indices: an event study analysis of the Russo-Ukrainian war /
Authors Grinius, Meinardas ; Baležentis, Tomas
DOI 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.557
Full Text Download
Is Part of Contemporary economics.. Warsaw : University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw. 2025, vol. 19, iss. 1, p. 121-131.. ISSN 2084-0845. eISSN 2300-8814
Keywords [eng] market efficiency ; stock index ; event study ; abnormal return ; Baltic States ; Central and Eastern Europe ; geopolitical event
Abstract [eng] The capital markets are sensitive to geopolitical events. It is important to provide evidence of reactions to specific geopolitical events in order to identify general patterns and effective risk management strategies. This study follows the event study approach to assess the reactions of different stock markets to the Russo-Ukrainian war in 2022. The 12 stock markets are represented by the relevant indices and benchmarked against the MSCI World Index. The markets considered include developed, emerging, and frontier ones. The results suggest the presence of the proximity penalty. Especially, Poland showed the highest correction during the event day. The markets outside Europe (the US, Canada, and Australia) did not show significant cumulative abnormal returns for the whole event window, yet such corrections were noted for certain sub-periods within the window. These results can be used for designing risk management strategies in the Central and Eastern Europe.
Published Warsaw : University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw
Type Journal article
Language English
Publication date 2025
CC license CC license description