| Title | Projections of windstorm damage to households in the baltic states under climate change / |
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| Translation of Title | Vėjo audrų nuostolių prognozės Baltijos šalių gyventojų turtui klimato kaitos kontekste. |
| Authors | Kraujalytė, Gintarė |
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| Pages | 39 |
| Keywords [eng] | klimato kaita, vėjo audros, Baltijos šalys, šališkumo korekcija, įtakos funkcijos, nuostolių prognozės, viršijimo tikimybės kreivės, neapibrėžtuma/climate change, windstorm, Baltic states, bias correction, impact functions, damage projections, exceedance probability curves, uncertainty. |
| Abstract [eng] | This thesis evaluates the projected impact of climate change on windstorm-related damage to residential properties in the Baltic states, focusing on the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario for the mid-21st century (2041–2070). It integrates hazard and exposure data together with vulnerability functions, employing methods such as bias correction and both stochastic and deterministic approaches to model damage functions for windstorm impact estimation. The analysis isolates the effects of climate change by assuming constant exposure and vulnerability. Results indicate an increase in future damage, particularly in northern and coastal regions, with spatial maps and exceedance probability curves illustrating geographic variability and associated uncertainty. |
| Dissertation Institution | Vilniaus universitetas. |
| Type | Master thesis |
| Language | English |
| Publication date | 2025 |