Title Belarus – who will be the winner if everyone loses
Authors Jonavičius, Laurynas
ISBN 9789949038145
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Is Part of A restless embrace of the past? The conference on Russia Papers 2022.. Tartu : University of Tartu Press, 2022. p. 196-210.. ISBN 9789949038145
Keywords [eng] Belarus ; crisis ; Lukashenko regime
Abstract [eng] The domestic political crisis in Belarus, which has been going on for more than a year, remains at a standstill. The prolonged political crisis has spilled over into the realms of economy and international security. Although it started without geopolitical ambitions, the issue of Belarus has now become more important as a topic of the security and stability agenda in the region. The internal impasse and the resulting inflexible situation do not provide a solution that could arise through negotiations or compromise. Additionally, the different interests and available leverage of external actors also do not offer an easy exit strategy. President Lukashenko has become a vexation for the dissatisfied people of his country, the West, and even for Russia. He has retained power only through extreme internal coercion. As the economic resources of the regime dwindle, the dictator’s actions become less predict-able. One can expect more unanticipated actions from the regime if this stalemate continues.
Published Tartu : University of Tartu Press, 2022
Type Book part
Language English
Publication date 2022
CC license CC license description