| Abstract [eng] |
The transport sector in relation to other sectors of the economy poses a debate on the impact this sector has on economic growth. The objective of this thesis is to review the theoretical conception of the development and economic growth in the sectors and to assess the impact of transport sector development on economic growth of Lithuania. There was formed a hypothesis that the transport sector as the individual branch of the economy, economic development indicators determine the indicators of the economic growth of the country. According to the dynamic analysis of the transport sector for 2008-2014, the performance indicators have a tendency to rise; it shows the sector's growth. The study identifies the correlation connections and distinguishes the indicators having the greatest impact on economic growth. Based on these correlations constructive master part consists of two regression models. After the verification of the reliability of models, the most reliable model was chosen – the changes of indicators of the transport sector's income, costs as well as of the material investment in the transport sector, determines Lithuania's gross domestic product changes. The forecast data of 2014 was added to the selected model and a repeated regression analysis showed that the model works therefore the hypothesis of this thesis is confirmed. |
