| Abstract [eng] |
In the Master’s thesis possibilities of the Šiauliai region economic and social breakthrough are discussed. In the first part of the Master’s thesis it is noted that possibilities of economic and social breakthrough from “Hinterland” (remote region) to “Worderland” (developed region) must be linked with the regional development process theoretical aspects, the Šiauliai county social and economic indices’ analysis, forecasting methods, the EU projects aimed at sociality, rural areas’ development changes, the city investment projects. In the second part of the Master’s thesis it is discussed developments of special economic zones in the Republic of Lithuania, the US and other countries, their benefits to the region. It is emphasized the advantages in the regional development context related to the Silicon Valley in the US, the Sunrise Valley in Lithuania and the currently created special economic zones in the Šiauliai county, the Industrial Park. In the third part of the Master’s thesis the theoretical and practical assumptions of the investment attraction have been discussed. The investment attraction of the Šiauliai county may be created identifying economic indices (e.g. the share of the GDP as compared to the average in the Lithuanian counties, direct foreign investment in the Lithuanian counties). The analysis of the identified particular macroeconomic and social investment attraction indices have been carried out. The statistical forecasts using the trend function for 2010 and 2013 have been calculated, the percentage changes according to the years have also been calculated. The following groups of investment attraction indices have been distinguished: the Šiauliai county municipalities’ macroeconomic investment attraction indices’ group (consisting of two indices: foreign direct investments for one resident in Litas, material investments in Litas for one resident), social investment attraction indices’ group (consisting of nine indices: residents’ numbers changes, registered criminal offences, population numbers’ changes in the city and country, the numbers of the employed according to the economy activities, the changes of the employed residents, the numbers of the pensionary age residents, the changes of the unemployed numbers, the changes of the employed numbers in the Šiauliai county municipalities) and the Šiauliai county sustainable development indices’ group (consisting of 2 indices: the numbers of air pollutants from stationary pollution sources in the Šiauliai county municipalities, waste water release in thousand cubic metres in the Šiauliai county municipalities). The percentage changes, the trend function values’ calculations, neural networks’ forecasting methods, questioning of the competent Šiauliai county municipalities’ officers have been used for creation of the Šiauliai county attraction investment attraction statistical indices’ groups, analysis and forecasts. The Šiauliai region economic and social breakthrough has five real possibilities: industrial zones expansion in the Šiauliai county municipalities, development of investment attraction, transition from agriculture to the services’ sector, sociality encouragement through the programmable and project activity, economic and social indices improvement. In the Master’s thesis there are 26 tables and 30 figures. At the end of the Master’s thesis conclusions, guidelines, and appendixes are given. |
