Abstract [eng] |
The work consists of 95 pages, 13 tables and 5 figures. The aim of the study is to create a bankruptcy forecasting model for very small Lithuanian administrative and service companies, including macroeconomic indicators. To achieve the goal, to analyze the theoretical aspects of the bankruptcy process and bankruptcy forecasting models, their applicability and reliability for Lithuanian companies. To develop a research methodology, according to which a bankruptcy forecasting model for very small Lithuanian administrative and service companies was created. The following research methods were used for this purpose: systematic and comparative analysis of scientific literature sources, collection, processing and graphical presentation of statistical data, comparison, systematization and generalization of information. Correlation-regression analysis and logistic regression were used to develop the bankruptcy forecasting model. The paper develops a bankruptcy forecasting model for very small Lithuanian administrative and service sector companies, but is statistically unreliable due to too little data. |