| Abstract [eng] |
Economic cycles influence efficiency of transport sector therefore the main problem in work of the master, is the analysis of influence of economic cycles on transport sector. The concept and assessment of efficiency is one of the main problems in this subject as there is no uniform technique for estimation of transport sector (scientists suggest to estimate branches and efficiency of the enterprises through different prisms). In work of the master, economic efficiency of separate means of transport in 2000 - 2012 are estimated, leaning on the installed system of financial performance on the basis of which by means of the weighed arithmetic average of an indicator, the aggregated indicators are received. Scientific researches, for comparison of means of transport in all sector for 2000 - 2012 are executed, leaning on two methods of calculation of efficiency: the aggregated indicators of efficiency of each type of transport sector separately are removed and the aggregated indicators of efficiency of each look in all sector are removed. Estimation of influence of economic cycles on efficiency of transport sector, is executed by means of the correlation analysis of the aggregated indicators of efficiency of economic kinds of activity of transport sector and macroeconomic indicators. The analysis of influence of economic cycles on financial results of transport enterprises, is executed by means of the regression analysis, creating models of forecasting of transportation of goods and passengers, the income from sales, prime cost, operating expenses, leaning on macroeconomic indicators. The made perspective analysis on the basis of forecasts of macroeconomic indicators of the Ministry of Finance and the Central bank of Lithuania. In the course of research, strong correlation connection between efficiency the aggregated indicators and the macroeconomic indicators is established, the created models of forecasting show that economic cycles influence the aggregated indicators of efficiency of transport enterprises and their results of activity. |
