| Title |
Kada senoji Lietuvos valstybė tapo imperija ir nustojo ja būti? Atsakymas į lietuvišką klausimą, naudojantis estišku metodu / |
| Translation of Title |
When ancient Lithuanian state became an empire and ceased to be it? An answer to Lithuanian question using an Estonian method. |
| Authors |
Norkus, Zenonas |
| DOI |
10.15388/LIS.2009.36957 |
| Full Text |
|
| Is Part of |
Lietuvos istorijos studijos.. Vilnius : Vilniaus universiteto leidykla. 2009, t. 23, p. 35-68.. ISSN 1392-0448 |
| Abstract [eng] |
The article introduces an Lithuanian reader into the ideas of distinguished American-Estonian political scientist Rein Taagepera on comparative cliometrics of empires and uses them to detect main thresholds in the imperial history of the ancient Lithuania. For this goal, its size-time integral (called in the paper Taagepera integral) was measured. It is used to calculate the maximum stable size (M), emergence (20% of M), adulthood (80% of M), failure (50% of M) dates, rise and duration times of the ancient Lithuanian empire. According to author's calculations, ancient Lithuania emerged as empire already under Mindaugas rule (before 1263), and its rise time was about 100 years. Its adulthood came in the early sixthies of the XIV century, and it failed in 1569, when just before Lublin union Poland annexed the Southern provinces of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania. So its duration time was slightly more above 200 centuries. These chronological conclusions are made under assumption that old Lithuanian state survived untill 1795. If this assumption is exchanged for another that says that 1569 was also the endpoint of the ancient Lithuanian state, only slight changes are to be made in these conclusions. |
| Published |
Vilnius : Vilniaus universiteto leidykla |
| Type |
Journal article |
| Language |
Lithuanian |
| Publication date |
2009 |
| CC license |
|
