| Title |
Baltijos šalių akcijų lyginamojo indekso OMX Baltic Benchmark modelių tyrimas / |
| Translation of Title |
Modeling Baltic market benchmark index: a comparison of models. |
| Authors |
Belovas, Igoris |
| DOI |
10.15388/LMR.B.2019.15207 |
| Full Text |
|
| Is Part of |
Lietuvos matematikos rinkinys. Lietuvos matematikų draugijos darbai, Ser. B... Vilnius : Vilniaus universitetas. 2019, t. 60, p. 6-10.. ISSN 0132-2818. eISSN 2335-898X |
| Keywords [eng] |
OMX Baltic Benchmark index, logarithmic returns, α-stable model ; skewed Student’s t model ; normal-inverse Gaussian model |
| Abstract [eng] |
In this paper we perform a statistical analysis of the returns of OMX Baltic Benchmark index. We construct symmetric α-stable, non-standardized Student’s t and normal-inverse Gaussian models of daily logarithmic returns of the index, using maximum likelihood method for the estimation of the parameters of the models. The adequacy of the modeling is evaluated with the Kolmogorov- Smirnov tests for composite hypothesis. The results of the study indicate that the normal-inverse Gaussian model outperforms alternative heavy-tailed models for long periods of time, while the non-standardized Student’s t model provides the best overall fit for the data for shorter intervals. According to the likelihood-ratio test, the four-parameter models of the log-returns of OMX Baltic Benchmark index could be reduced to the three-parameter (symmetric) models without much loss. |
| Published |
Vilnius : Vilniaus universitetas |
| Type |
Journal article |
| Language |
Lithuanian |
| Publication date |
2019 |
